What (more reasonable) Western Analysts Say Comes Next for Ukraine (TheNewAtlas)

Some Western analysts have been providing a more accurate picture of the conflict in Ukraine than the general barrage of Western war propaganda. They seem to agree that:

- There is no path for Ukraine to win militarily;

- Russia is nowhere near as incompetent and ill-prepared as the Western media suggests;

- Russia is not seizing territory because it is waging a war of attrition;

- Ukrainian territorial gains may have appeared “spectacular” but came at the cost of huge losses in men and equipment;

- Russia is bolstering both its manpower and defensive positions;

- The loss of Kharkov and Kherson city has actually left Russia in a more advantageous position, more troops on a shorter line of contact;

- Russian forces fighting in Bakhmut seek to grind Ukrainian forces down, not capture the city from them.



A key thing remember is that the Russians have a huge advantage in artillery, both rocket/missile and guns (and also drones). And by fighting on a shorter front line they can more effectively concentrate these assets. By contrast the Ukrainian Army appears to be funneling troops into killing zones or desperately holding onto positions that are subjected to heavy bombardment. Hence the fact of heavy Ukrainian losses.

[Posted at the SpookyWeather2 blog, January 12, 2023.]