Col Douglas Macgregor: There'll be HELL to PAY for Iran Ceasefire & Blockade (Daniel Davis)

While the US seems to be backing out of the conflict, the door is open for resumed fighting considering Israeli actions in the region (in Lebanon). Whatever happens, economic turmoil is brewing due to the lack of oil and fertilizer coming out of the region. If fighting resumes the economic fallout will be worse. The overall situation is still up in the air.

When it comes to international relations in general, Macgregor points out that the war has turned much of the world against both the US and the Israelis, setting the framework for a decoupling and a shift towards BRICS over the longer term. Israel has really painted itself into a corner regionally with both Turkey and Egypt realising the threat posed by the Greater Israel plans.   

In reaction to so much opposition the end goal might be to escalate the conflict against Iran so that oil and water facilities in the region are destroyed leading to a global economic crisis. In such a situation the stability of countries like Egypt and Turkey, and also China and India, will come into question - allowing the possibility of internal conflict and/or balkanisation. 

[Posted at the SpookyWeather2 blog, May 6, 2026.]