Thursday, April 2, 2026

Trump Iran War Dilemma: Escalate, Walk Away, or Concede? (The Duran)




There's talk that the US will abruptly walk away from the conflict, while signs of escalation are still evident. At the same time there's no sign of the Iranians backing down, or folding militarily, so walking away would be the only viable way to go. The escalation signs may turn out to be a bluff. Added to the overall situation is that no countries trust the US word on anything any more. When it comes to negotiating an end to the fighting, rather than coming to some mutual understanding, the US unilaterally walking away is the only option left (perhaps abandoning all their bases in the Middle East). 

However, before the US leaves the Israelis (and also Gulf State countries, according the clip) would want to see Iran crippled further, with their oil production, and desalination plants destroyed - something that risks counter attacks against all of the neighbouring countries of the region. The people in charge (neocons) are the sort that would prefer this sort of outcome than leaving the Iranians alone. While a ground operation is a suicide mission, many more airstrikes are still on the cards.

Alexander thinks more escalation is likely to happen before the end of hostilities, and this seems correct.

[Posted at the SpookyWeather2 blog, April 2, 2026.]

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