Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Iran Vows to Bring US & Israel to Their Knees /Patrick Henningsen & Lt Col Daniel Davis


Patrick Henningsen argues that U.S. policy and leadership around the Iran conflict are driven by flawed intelligence, political opportunism, and misunderstanding of Iranian society.

They claim information reaching President Trump is unreliable or manipulated, leading to exaggerated or false narratives that influence decisions. Inside the administration, figures like the vice president are portrayed as prioritizing political survival over principle, avoiding clear positions on the war despite past anti-war rhetoric.

On Iran, the key point is that U.S. and Israeli pressure has backfired: instead of weakening the government, it has unified the Iranian population, increasing support for resistance rather than regime change. Iran’s ability to keep the Strait of Hormuz disrupted is described as giving it strategic leverage.

The speaker also argues that the war benefits certain U.S. economic interests (like oil and industry) more than the general public, and may hurt political support domestically.

Finally, the discussion expands to U.S. policy toward Cuba, criticizing decades of sanctions as ineffective and harmful to civilians. The speaker frames recent rhetoric about “taking” Cuba as dangerous and part of a broader pattern of aggressive, interventionist thinking, warning it could lead to further instability and humanitarian harm
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The clip opens with breaking news of a top US intelligence official quitting in opposition to the war. Good interview with Patrick Henningsen. The point of the clip is that there's going to be NO quick exit here, so now you have to think about what this will do in the longer term, and the fact that people in power will KNOW this already. So the aim will be to wreck the globalised economy as the nations of this region wreck each other. This includes both Iran and Israel, and the rest of Gulf State countries.

The situation is yet to go really off the rails in terms of attacks on oil infrastructure and desalination plants. As things stand there's no simple end, militarily, to what's unfolding. Both sides will be lobbing ordinance at each other, where Iran almost certainly still has hundreds of thousand of unused drones and thousands of ballistic missiles.

Attempts at revolution failed, a ground invasion is off, and if things continue, and get worse, then expect the Israelis to lose all of their oil and water production facilities, and general power production in the country. Same for Iran. Is that what they're willing to do? Perhaps there will be a chemical attack false flag (nerve gas) so that nukes will be used (because a ground invasion will not work), but will that actually be on the table? If not, then conventional smashing by both sides won't result in a clear victory.

[Posted at the SpookyWeather2 blog, March 18, 2026.]

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