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Sunday, October 22, 2023
The Fall | Avdiivka Round 2. Ukrainian Anti-Retreat Forces. Military Summary And Analysis 2023.10.20
Russian forces are now taking significant losses via mines and missile attacks upon their vehicles. The battle for Avdiivka seems like another costly grind similar to Bakhmut in terms of attrition, except with vehicles. The Russian forces paid a price to take Bakhmut. However, at the same time, the Ukrainians have lost large numbers as they sent in men and equipment to support their positions. The attrition factor will play out in Russia's favour. The main thing to understand is that Russia is fighting against NATO here, facing an organised logistics train and foreign fighters. The situation is likely set up in the same way as the Syrian proxy war with many rat lines feeding the conflict.
The anti retreat forces is a disturbing trend we've see all too often. They deploy troops to stop their front line cannon fodder from retreating. The other option for Ukrainian troops, in that situation, is to simply surrender.
UPDATE:
A Counter Battle Is Taking Place Along The Entire Front Line. Military Summary For 2023.10.21
[Posted at the SpookyWeather2 blog, October 22, 2023.]
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