Tuesday, June 27, 2023

The meaning of Prigozhin’s short-lived mutiny in Russia (Douglas MacGregor)




MacGregor points out that this was not a coup. He says Prigozhin wants the war to end quickly, and other senior commanders have the same idea. What happened was a forceful protest where Prigozhin wanted a change of the top level commanders to put in more aggressive leaders.

In the end there was a negotiated end that stopped any major infighting. The other thing is the population looks on Wager extremely favourably in Russia, they came out in the streets to support them. The people also reiterated their support for Putin and called for solidarity, which help deescalate things. And so Prigozhin was sent into exile in Belarus.

One other thing to consider is that Prigozhin, Lukashenko and Putin all know each other, being acquaintances/friends for many decades. This helped to stop any further conflict.

The central theme for MacGregor here is that many in Russia don't want the war to drag out for another year. They want to go on the attack on a large scale and forestall any further NATO intervention. 

[Posted at the SpookyWeather2 blog, June 27, 2023.]

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