Thursday, December 29, 2022

Why is Russia Conducting its Special Military Operation this Way? (TheNewAtlas)


Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine is being fought differently than the US invasion of Iraq in 2003 not because Russia’s military is inferior or incapable of conducting modern warfare effectively, but because it is an entirely different type of conflict.

- Ukraine is larger geographically, with a larger population, larger and better equipped/trained military;
- Ukraine has built up fortified positions across the Donbass for the last 8 years;
- These defenses are not merely infantry sitting in trenches - they include long-range fire support from artillery, multiple launch rocket systems, mortars, tanks, and anti-tank weapons;
- To defeat these defenses, Russia must methodically eliminate long-range Ukrainian heavy weapons;
- Russia uses loitering munitions like the Lancet to destroy Ukrainian howitzers, rocket launchers, counter-battery radar sets, and air defense systems;
- The destruction of Ukrainian heavy weapons allows Russia to storm fortified positions with tanks, armored personnel carriers, and infantry fighting vehicles after careful artillery preparations;
- Ukraine is unable to prepare ahead of offensives in this way, necessitating the loss of large numbers of men and equipment as during the Kherson/Kharkov offensives;




The War Doctrine that Ukraine may have tried would have been to take heavy losses breaking through the Russian lines before exploiting the breakthrough into their rear areas (US/NATO maneuver war). The trick is to break through the lines and then have the logistical support to maneuver behind the enemy's front line. This sort of warfare can result in large numbers of surrenders. The big problem today, with forcing through front line positions, is anti tank missiles (along with well positioned artillery). Armoured columns, as seen in Russia's first month of the war, were targeted by anti tank crews and floundered. And with satellite technology the location of any substantial attack will be known in advance. The Russian method, as detailed in the video, of methodically preparing the battlefield with artillery and drones, seems the best way to go forward. 

[Posted at the SpookyWeather2 blog, December 29, 2022.]

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