The Midterm Polls are WRONG? | Victor Davis Hanson Daily Brief

Are the 2026 midterm election polls telling the whole story, or are Republicans being underestimated once again?

In this episode of The Daily Brief, Victor Davis Hanson breaks down the approaching 2026 midterm elections, Donald Trump's strategy to mobilize Republican voters, and the critical Senate and House races that could determine control of Congress.

With Election Day approaching, Hanson questions the accuracy of political polling and argues that the Republican Party may be in a stronger position than many political commentators suggest. Drawing on historical midterm election results, the 2016 and 2024 presidential elections, and recent polling trends, Hanson examines whether Republicans can overcome the historical disadvantages facing the party in power.

Hanson also explores Trump's campaign rallies and their potential impact on voter turnout. Could Trump's ability to energize his political base make the difference in close congressional races?

The conversation turns to the national media, the Wall Street Journal, and the debate over Trump's tariff policies. Hanson argues that traditional economic and political institutions have overlooked the interests of American manufacturing workers and questions whether mainstream coverage accurately reflects the country's political mood.

Later, Hanson delivers an extended analysis of Elon Musk, examining his transformation from a celebrated technology entrepreneur to one of the most polarizing figures in American politics. From Tesla and SpaceX to Starlink and X, Hanson discusses Musk's technological achievements, his support for Donald Trump, and why he believes Democrats have turned against him.

The episode also examines California Governor Gavin Newsom's comments about democratic socialism, his potential presidential ambitions, and the direction of the Democratic Party heading toward 2028.

Finally, Hanson identifies the election contests he believes could reveal the true political mood of the country, including races in Michigan, Maine, Oregon, and Minnesota.

Will Republicans hold Congress? Are the polls underestimating Trump's supporters? And which races could determine the future of American politics?



The polls are likely skewed, but Trump has also done a lot this term to turn off his own supporters. The election result might be closer than many people think, but it's highly probable the election will go badly for the present Administration. The clip doesn't consider economic pressures and the high price of diesel fuel, plus the fact the US is involved in a war with Iran, something Trump promised not to do. No more wars.  

[Posted at the SpookyWeather2 blog, November 1, 2026.]